| HOME | HELP | FEEDBACK | SUBSCRIPTIONS | ARCHIVE | SEARCH | TABLE OF CONTENTS |
Original Studies |
Division of Reproductive Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology (B.I., B.C.J.M.F.), and Department of Public Health (M.J.C.E., J.D.F.H.), Center for Clinical Decision Sciences, University Hospital and Erasmus University, Rotterdam; and the Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University Hospital Utrecht (E.R.t.V.), Utrecht, The Netherlands
Address all correspondence and requests for reprints to: Prof. B. C. J. M. Fauser, M.D., Ph.D., Division of Reproductive Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Dijkzigt Academic Hospital, Dr. Molewaterplein 40, 3015 GD Rotterdam, The Netherlands. E-mail: fauser{at}gyna.azr.nl
| Abstract |
|---|
|
|
|---|
Patients whose ovaries are less likely to respond to stimulation by FSH due to CC treatment can be predicted on the basis of initial screening characteristics, such as FAI, BMI, cycle history (oligomenorrhea or amenorrhea), and mean ovarian volume. These observations may add to ongoing discussion regarding etiological factors involved in ovarian dysfunction in these patients and classification of normogonadotropic anovulatory infertile women.
| Introduction |
|---|
|
|
|---|
Polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS), usually referred to as chronic hyperandrogenic anovulation, represents a distinct proportion of WHO group 2 anovulatory patients. It is uncertain to what extent PCOS patients are particularly prone to remain resistant to CC medication (8, 9). Discussion continues regarding the validity of criteria used to diagnose PCOS (10) as well as its relevance for clinical practice. We have previously demonstrated that a distinct overlap exists between endocrine and ultrasound features used by various researchers (11). If strict criteria are used for PCOS diagnosis, a large heterogeneous group of normoestrogenic patients will remain unclassified.
Thirty-five years after its first clinical introduction (12), CC still remains the first line treatment strategy in normogonadotropic anovulatory patients. Although rising serum FSH levels due to CC interference with estrogen negative feedback may be held responsible for stimulating follicle growth (13, 14, 15), other mechanisms of action have also been proposed (9, 16). A significant proportion of treated women, however, do not respond. The aim of this study was to investigate whether clinical, endocrine, and sonographic characteristics during initial screening of normogonadotropic anovulatory infertile women may predict the ovarian response to CC medication. This approach may help to define conditions that prevent the ovary from responding to stimulation by increased FSH levels and to further classify WHO group 2 anovulatory patients.
| Subjects and Methods |
|---|
|
|
|---|
Approval for this study was obtained from the human subject committee of the Dijkzigt Hospital/Erasmus University. Between February 1993 and September 1996, 201 patients presenting with oligomenorrhea (interval between vaginal bleeding >35 days and <6 months) or amenorrhea (bleeding interval >6 months) and infertility were recruited. Informed consent was obtained from all participants. All subjects were referred directly by their general practitioner to our infertility unit. None had received previous ovulation induction medication. Additional inclusion criteria were serum FSH levels within normal limits (110 IU/L) (1, 17), spontaneous menses or a positive bleeding response to progestagen withdrawal, normal serum PRL and THS levels, body mass index (BMI; weight divided by the square of the patients height) more than 18, and age less than 40 yr.
Clinical, endocrine, and sonographic screening was carried out before initiation of CC therapy. Clinical screening included infertility and cycle history, BMI, previous medication, and/or surgery. Endocrine screening included serum assays of FSH, PRL, TSH, LH, estradiol, androstenedione (AD), testosterone (T), sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG), cortisol, and dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate. Fasting blood samples were taken randomly between 08001000 h before the initiation of therapy. Venous blood samples were centrifuged within 2 h after withdrawal and were stored at -20 C until assayed. Transvaginal sonographic screening included assessment of the ovarian stroma echogenicity (arbitrarily classified from 13), ovarian volume (milliliters), and total number of follicles (both ovaries), as described previously (11, 18). Serum LH and FSH levels were measured by immunoradiometric assay (Medgenix, Fleurus, Belgium), and T, AD, SHBG, and dehydroepiandrosterone sulfate were determined using RIA kits (Diagnostic Products Corp., Los Angeles, CA), as described previously (19, 20).
The treatment schedule and assessment of ovarian response were as
follows. CC medication was initiated on day 3 after spontaneous or
progestagen-induced withdrawal bleeding. The starting dose was 50
mg/day, orally, for 5 subsequent days. In the case of an absent
response, daily doses were increased by 50 mg in the next cycle to a
maximum dose of 150 mg/day in the following cycle. If ovulation
occurred, the dose remained unaltered during subsequent cycles. First
ovulation was used as the end point. The duration of follow-up for all
patients included in the study was at least three treatment cycles.
Ovulation was assessed by midluteal serum progesterone measurement
(levels >25 nmol/L indicating ovulation) combined with transvaginal
sonographic monitoring of follicle growth until the appearance of a
preovulatory follicle (mean diameter,
18 mm) and subsequent follicle
rupture, or by biphasic basal body temperature charts. Responders were
defined as patients who ovulated during CC therapy, independent of the
dose administered. The number of treatment cycles and the CC dose in
which first ovulation occurred were recorded. Clomiphene-resistant
anovulation (CRA) was defined as patients who do not ovulate despite
receiving maximum treatment doses of 150 mg/day.
Data analysis
Distribution of characteristics in patient groups is presented
as the mean ± SD. We used the Mann-Whitney U test and
the Wilcoxon rank sum W test for exploratory comparison of initial
parameters between responders and nonresponders. The univariate and
multivariate relation with response to CC was assessed using logistic
regression analysis. The following parameters were used in the
analysis: BMI, free androgen index (FAI; T x 100/SHBG), serum T
and/or AD concentrations, serum LH levels, cycle history
(oligomenorrhea or amenorrhea), cycle duration in case of
oligomenorrhea, mean ovarian volume, and follicle number. Backward
stepwise elimination was used for the multivariate logistic analysis of
prediction of patients being CRA, and P
0.10 was
used as a cut-off level for elimination of nonsignificant predictors
from the prognostic model. The area under the receiver operating
characteristics (ROC) curve (AUC) was used to assess the discriminative
ability of the logistic models. The AUC gives the proportion of all
pairs of patients (each pair consisting of one patient without and the
other patient with a response to CC) in which the model predicts a
higher probability of no response for the patient without response. The
Statistical Analysis System program (SAS Institute, Cary, NC) was
employed for data analysis.
Because selection and estimation were performed for 8 potential predictors on a dataset with only 45 events (CRAs), correction for overfitting was performed (21). The internal validity of the prognostic model was tested by a bootstrapping method in which the selection and estimation process was repeated 200 times. Each of these repetitions consisted of creating a new dataset (bootstrap sample) by drawing cases with replacement from the original data. The backward stepwise elimination process was performed on this dataset, yielding a set of selected predictors and parameter estimates (21, 22). Resulting model estimates of each bootstrap sample were evaluated on the original data, and a shrinkage factor was estimated to correct for statistical overoptimism. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test (23) has been used to check for lack of fit of the final model. The logistic coefficients that were corrected by the shrinkage factor have been translated into an easy to use score chart. The scores were calculated by multiplying the shrunk coefficients by 10 and rounding them off to the nearest whole number.
| Results |
|---|
|
|
|---|
|
3.2
nmol/L and/or AD
16.3 nmol/L) (11, 19), and in 125 patients (66%)
polycystic ovaries (mean ovarian volume
10.8 mL and/or mean follicle
number per ovary
10) (11, 18) were diagnosed. Finally, 105 patients
(54%) presented with elevated LH (
7.0 IU/L) serum levels (11, 19).
In Table 1
, clinical, endocrine, and
ultrasound characteristics are presented for the overall study group
and separately for patients who did or did not ovulate after CC
medication. Forty-four percent of patients presenting with amenorrhea
(17 of 39) were considered to have CRA, whereas only 17% (28 of 162)
of patients with oligomenorrhea showed no response. Statistical
significance in univariate analysis with logistic regression analyses
and ROC AUC of the initial parameters are depicted in Table 2
. The AUCs for FAI and BMI were the
highest (0.76 and 0.70, respectively). The ROC curve with the best
performance (FAI) and that with the poorest performance (serum LH) are
shown in Fig. 2
.
|
|
|
|
|
| Discussion |
|---|
|
|
|---|
For this first analysis of response to CC medication we decided to focus on ovulation rather than conception. Ovulation is biologically relevant and most closely connected to the desired effects of CC medication. Analysis of conception as the end point requires a comprehensive study of other potential confounders, such as tubal factor, sperm factor, and endometrial function. Four initial screening parameters (FAI, BMI, mean ovarian volume, and cycle history) could be identified, predicting patients remaining anovulatory after CC medication. A combination of these parameters showed good predictive power, with a ROC AUC of 0.82. Several studies have been published recently regarding the use of a similar multivariate model for predicting chances for conception in infertile patients with regular cycles (24, 25, 26). Various researchers have investigated the predictive value of clinical and endocrine screening parameters for the response to CC. Only a positive correlation between body weight and the dose of CC required to induce ovulation has been established (8, 27). A recent study has indicated that increased BMI is the only initial parameter that is significantly different between responders and nonresponders (28). To our knowledge this is the first time a multivariate prediction model has been applied in the treatment of anovulatory infertility. We could demonstrate that patients suffering from amenorrhea, obesity, increased ovarian volume, and elevated androgen levels (a complex of signs, symptoms, and ultrasound and endocrine findings frequently referred to as PCOS) are most likely to remain anovulatory after CC induction of ovulation. A model can be used to predict chances for an individual patient to remain anovulatory by calculating a total score on the basis of these initial screening characteristics. Further studies should validate the prediction model in a new group of patients. The present study also suggests that LH concentrations do not predict ovarian response after CC medication in accordance with recent observations by others (28). These data oppose the concept that elevated LH is implemented in ovarian dysfunction in these patients (29). However, the assessment of LH levels in anovulatory patients is problematic due to effects of timing, the immunoassays used, and the pulsatile nature of LH release (30).
Together, these observations suggest that obese hyperandrogenic women are less likely to respond to increased stimulation by FSH, suggesting that these factors are instrumental in follicle maturation arrest (31) and an increased FSH threshold (6). The correlation between BMI and ovarian response after CC treatment suggests that much emphasis should be focused on weight reduction. However, it should be realized that scientific proof for this approach is lacking, and that weight reduction may not necessarily result in normal response. Previous work from our group demonstrated indeed that long term androgen medication in female to male transsexuals induces polycystic ovary morphology, characterized by increased ovarian size, augmented follicle number, and stroma hyperplasia (32). Assessment of steroid levels in follicle fluid obtained from polycystic ovaries suggested that disturbed dominant follicle selection in hyperandrogenic patients may result from disrupted enhancement of FSH-induced aromatase activity (33). This could be due to intraovarian dysregulation of FSH action, which precludes a normal response (i.e. follicle growth and ovulation) after incremental FSH levels elicited by CC medication. Factors involved may include locally produced growth factors or insulin resistance (34, 35). Alternative explanations for a nonresponse after CC may include 1) an abnormal hypothalamic/pituitary response to steroid feedback resulting in an insufficient rise in FSH after CC, 2) individual differences in the FSH isohormone profile resulting in discrepancies in bioactive FSH concentrations despite similar immunoreactive FSH levels, 3) additional, as yet unidentified, mechanisms responsible for at least part of CC actions. Recently reported CC-induced changes in the insulin-like growth factor system (16) may be relevant in this regard. It may be speculated that improved insight into any of these factors (intraovarian dysregulation (36), hypothalamic/pituitary dysfunction (37), FSH heterogeneity (38), or the insulin-like growth factor system (34)) may eventually result in additional predictors of the CC response. Further studies focusing on insulin resistance may also be of interest, as recent reports suggest that ovarian dysfunction may improve after the use of insulin-sensitizing agents (39). Preliminary observations (Imani, B. and Fauser, B. C. J. M., unpublished observations) suggest that fasting insulin levels are increased in CRA patients. It requires further study to clarify whether insulin resistance is a determining factor in an abnormal response to FSH independent from androgen concentrations, as the majority of studies propose that insulin resistance is associated with PCOS through increased thecal cell androgen production (35).
In conclusion, this study demonstrates that it is possible to predict patients remaining anovulatory during CC induction of ovulation using criteria that are directly associated with PCOS, predominantly obesity and hyperandrogenemia. Further studies should establish whether the occurrence of pregnancies after CC medication can also be predicted and whether similar factors are involved. The identification of initial characteristics that predict the ovarian response to ovulation induction therapy may help to further classify the heterogeneous group of normogonadotropic anovulatory infertile women. The present study suggests that hyperandrogenemia and obesity are crucial in inducing ovarian abnormalities that are less likely to respond to increased stimulation by FSH.
| Footnotes |
|---|
Received December 16, 1997.
Revised March 13, 1998.
Accepted March 30, 1998.
| References |
|---|
|
|
|---|
This article has been cited by other articles:
![]() |
A. Nyboe Andersen, A. Balen, P. Platteau, P. Devroey, L. Helmgaard, J.-C. Arce, and for the Bravelle Ovulation Induction (BOI) Study G Predicting the FSH threshold dose in women with WHO Group II anovulatory infertility failing to ovulate or conceive on clomiphene citrate Hum. Reprod., June 1, 2008; 23(6): 1424 - 1430. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
R. S. Legro, H. X. Barnhart, W. D. Schlaff, B. R. Carr, M. P. Diamond, S. A. Carson, M. P. Steinkampf, C. Coutifaris, P. G. McGovern, N. A. Cataldo, et al. Ovulatory Response to Treatment of Polycystic Ovary Syndrome Is Associated with a Polymorphism in the STK11 Gene J. Clin. Endocrinol. Metab., March 1, 2008; 93(3): 792 - 800. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
S. Lie Fong, P.J. Lugtenburg, I. Schipper, A.P.N. Themmen, F.H. de Jong, P. Sonneveld, and J.S.E. Laven Anti-mullerian hormone as a marker of ovarian function in women after chemotherapy and radiotherapy for haematological malignancies Hum. Reprod., March 1, 2008; 23(3): 674 - 678. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
The Thessaloniki ESHRE/ASRM-Sponsored PCOS Consens Consensus on infertility treatment related to polycystic ovary syndrome Hum. Reprod., March 1, 2008; 23(3): 462 - 477. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
O. Valkenburg, R. P. M. Steegers-Theunissen, H. P. M. Smedts, G. M. Dallinga-Thie, B. C. J. M. Fauser, E. H. Westerveld, and J. S. E. Laven A More Atherogenic Serum Lipoprotein Profile Is Present in Women with Polycystic Ovary Syndrome: A Case-Control Study J. Clin. Endocrinol. Metab., February 1, 2008; 93(2): 470 - 476. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
B.C.J.M. Fauser, K. Diedrich, P. Devroey, and on behalf of the Evian Annual Reproduction (EVAR) Predictors of ovarian response: progress towards individualized treatment in ovulation induction and ovarian stimulation Hum. Reprod. Update, January 1, 2008; 14(1): 1 - 14. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
L. J. Moran, M. Noakes, P. M. Clifton, and R. J. Norman The Use of Anti-Mullerian Hormone in Predicting Menstrual Response after Weight Loss in Overweight Women with Polycystic Ovary Syndrome J. Clin. Endocrinol. Metab., October 1, 2007; 92(10): 3796 - 3802. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
S. Palomba, F. Orio Jr., A. Falbo, T. Russo, A. Tolino, and F. Zullo Clomiphene Citrate Versus Metformin as First-Line Approach for the Treatment of Anovulation in Infertile Patients with Polycystic Ovary Syndrome J. Clin. Endocrinol. Metab., September 1, 2007; 92(9): 3498 - 3503. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
S. Palomba, T. Russo, F. Orio Jr, A. Falbo, F. Manguso, A. Sammartino, A. Tolino, A. Colao, E. Carmina, and F. Zullo Uterine effects of clomiphene citrate in women with polycystic ovary syndrome: a prospective controlled study Hum. Reprod., November 1, 2006; 21(11): 2823 - 2829. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
S. Franks Diagnosis of Polycystic Ovarian Syndrome: In Defense of the Rotterdam Criteria J. Clin. Endocrinol. Metab., March 1, 2006; 91(3): 786 - 789. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
E.M.E.W. Heijnen, M.J.C. Eijkemans, E.G. Hughes, J.S.E. Laven, N.S. Macklon, and B.C.J.M. Fauser A meta-analysis of outcomes of conventional IVF in women with polycystic ovary syndrome Hum. Reprod. Update, January 1, 2006; 12(1): 13 - 21. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
M. J.C. Eijkemans, S. Polinder, A. G.M.G.J. Mulders, J. S.E. Laven, J.D. F. Habbema, and B. C.J.M. Fauser Individualized cost-effective conventional ovulation induction treatment in normogonadotrophic anovulatory infertility (WHO group 2) Hum. Reprod., October 1, 2005; 20(10): 2830 - 2837. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
I. E. Messinis Ovulation induction: a mini review Hum. Reprod., October 1, 2005; 20(10): 2688 - 2697. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
R. Homburg Clomiphene citrate--end of an era? a mini-review Hum. Reprod., August 1, 2005; 20(8): 2043 - 2051. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
E. J P van Santbrink, F. P Hohmann, M. J C Eijkemans, J. S E Laven, and B. C J M Fauser Does metformin modify ovarian responsiveness during exogenous FSH ovulation induction in normogonadotrophic anovulation? A placebo-controlled double-blind assessment Eur. J. Endocrinol., April 1, 2005; 152(4): 611 - 617. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
M. van Wely, N. Bayram, F. van der Veen, and P. M.M. Bossuyt Predictors for treatment failure after laparoscopic electrocautery of the ovaries in women with clomiphene citrate resistant polycystic ovary syndrome Hum. Reprod., April 1, 2005; 20(4): 900 - 905. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
A. H. Balen, A. G. Mulders, B. C. Fauser, B. C. Schoot, M. A. Renier, P. Devroey, M. J. Struijs, and B. M. Mannaerts Pharmacodynamics of a Single Low Dose of Long-Acting Recombinant Follicle-Stimulating Hormone (FSH-Carboxy Terminal Peptide, Corifollitropin Alfa) in Women with World Health Organization Group II Anovulatory Infertility J. Clin. Endocrinol. Metab., December 1, 2004; 89(12): 6297 - 6304. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
F. Cetani, E. Pardi, S. Borsari, P. Viacava, G. Dipollina, L. Cianferotti, E. Ambrogini, E. Gazzerro, G. Colussi, P. Berti, et al. Genetic Analyses of the HRPT2 Gene in Primary Hyperparathyroidism: Germline and Somatic Mutations in Familial and Sporadic Parathyroid Tumors J. Clin. Endocrinol. Metab., November 1, 2004; 89(11): 5583 - 5591. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
S. Kashyap, G. A. Wells, and Z. Rosenwaks Insulin-sensitizing agents as primary therapy for patients with polycystic ovarian syndrome Hum. Reprod., November 1, 2004; 19(11): 2474 - 2483. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
M. van Wely, N. Bayram, P.M.M. Bossuyt, and F. van der Veen Laparoscopic electrocautery of the ovaries versus recombinant FSH in clomiphene citrate-resistant polycystic ovary syndrome. Impact on women's health-related quality of life Hum. Reprod., October 1, 2004; 19(10): 2244 - 2250. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
A. G.M.G.J. Mulders, J. S.E. Laven, M. J.C. Eijkemans, F. H. de Jong, A. P.N. Themmen, and B. C.J.M. Fauser Changes in anti-Mullerian hormone serum concentrations over time suggest delayed ovarian ageing in normogonadotrophic anovulatory infertility Hum. Reprod., September 1, 2004; 19(9): 2036 - 2042. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
M. van Wely, N. Bayram, F. van der Veen, and P.M.M. Bossuyt An economic comparison of a laparoscopic electrocautery strategy and ovulation induction with recombinant FSH in women with clomiphene citrate-resistant polycystic ovary syndrome Hum. Reprod., August 1, 2004; 19(8): 1741 - 1745. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
N. Bayram, M. van Wely, E. M Kaaijk, P. M M Bossuyt, and F. van der Veen Using an electrocautery strategy or recombinant follicle stimulating hormone to induce ovulation in polycystic ovary syndrome: randomised controlled trial BMJ, January 24, 2004; 328(7433): 192. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
E.J.P. van Santbrink and B.C.J.M. Fauser Is there a future for ovulation induction in the current era of assisted reproduction? Hum. Reprod., December 1, 2003; 18(12): 2499 - 2502. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
M. J.C. Eijkemans, B. Imani, A. G.M.G.J. Mulders, J.D. F. Habbema, and B. C.J.M. Fauser High singleton live birth rate following classical ovulation induction in normogonadotrophic anovulatory infertility (WHO 2) Hum. Reprod., November 1, 2003; 18(11): 2357 - 2362. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
P. G. Crosignani, M. Colombo, W. Vegetti, E. Somigliana, A. Gessati, and G. Ragni Overweight and obese anovulatory patients with polycystic ovaries: parallel improvements in anthropometric indices, ovarian physiology and fertility rate induced by diet Hum. Reprod., September 1, 2003; 18(9): 1928 - 1932. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
S. Gill, A. E. Taylor, K. A. Martin, C. K. Welt, J. M. Adams, and J. E. Hall Specific Factors Predict the Response to Pulsatile Gonadotropin-Releasing Hormone Therapy in Polycystic Ovarian Syndrome J. Clin. Endocrinol. Metab., June 1, 2001; 86(6): 2428 - 2436. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
P. Fedorcsak, P. O. Dale, R. Storeng, T. Tanbo, and T. Abyholm The impact of obesity and insulin resistance on the outcome of IVF or ICSI in women with polycystic ovarian syndrome Hum. Reprod., June 1, 2001; 16(6): 1086 - 1091. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
||||
![]() |
B. Imani, M. J. C. Eijkemans, F. H. de Jong, N. N. Payne, P. Bouchard, L. C. Giudice, and B. C. J. M. Fauser Free Androgen Index and Leptin Are the Most Prominent Endocrine Predictors of Ovarian Response during Clomiphene Citrate Induction of Ovulation in Normogonadotropic Oligoamenorrheic Infertility J. Clin. Endocrinol. Metab., February 1, 2000; 85(2): 676 - 682. [Abstract] [Full Text] |
||||
![]() |