The Journal of Clinical Endocrinology & Metabolism Vol. 84, No. 6 1823-1825
Copyright © 1999 by The Endocrine Society
Modern Low-Dose Oral Contraceptives Are Very Safe
Leon Speroff
Professor of Obstetrics and Gynecology
Oregon Health Sciences University
Portland, Oregon 97201
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Introduction
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THE 1998 World Health Organization report on
cardiovascular disease and steroid hormone contraception concluded that
oral contraceptives containing desogestrel or gestodene "probably
carry a small risk of venous thromboembolism beyond that attributable
to oral contraceptives containing levonorgestrel" (1). I am surprised
by this conclusion and disagree with it.
The controversy involving new progestin oral contraceptives began in
late 1995, continued through 1996, and began to reach resolution in
1997. Four initial studies comparing users of desogestrel and gestodene
products to users of second generation oral contraceptives concluded
that the risk of venous thromboembolism was 1.5- to 2.0-fold greater
with the newer progestin-containing oral contraceptives (2, 3, 4, 5). An
immediate problem with the initial studies was how to reconcile the
results with the conventional wisdom that thrombosis is an estrogen
dose-related complication. Furthermore, progestational agents, and
desogestrel and gestodene in particular, have no significant impact on
clotting parameters (6). Therefore, there was inherent biologic
implausibility surrounding the new studies. The initial studies were
impressive in their agreement. All indicated increased relative risks
associated with desogestrel and gestodene compared with levonorgestrel.
Nevertheless, all of the early studies, somewhat similar in design,
were influenced by the same unrecognized biases. Persistent errors will
produce consistent conclusions.
Former users discontinue oral contraceptives for a variety of reasons
and often are switched to what clinicians perceive to be "safer"
products ("preferential prescribing") (7, 8, 9). Individuals who do
well with a product tend to remain with that product. Thus, at any one
point in time, individuals on an older product will be relatively
healthy and free of side effects ("healthy user effect"). This is
also called attrition of susceptibles because higher risk individuals
with problems are gradually eliminated from the group (10). Comparing
users of older and newer products, therefore, can involve disparate
cohorts of individuals.
Because desogestrel- and gestodene-containing products were marketed as
less androgenic and therefore better (a marketing claim not
substantiated by epidemiologic studies), clinicians chose to provide
these products to higher risk patients and older women (7, 8). In
addition, clinicians switched patients perceived to be at greater risk
for thrombosis from older oral contraceptives to the newer formulations
with desogestrel and gestodene. Furthermore, these products were
prescribed more often to young women who were starting oral
contraception for the first time (these young women will not have
experienced the test of pregnancy or previous oral contraceptive use to
help identify those who have a congenital predisposition to venous
thrombosis). Subsequent studies, correcting for duration of use and
focusing on first-time users found no differences between second and
third generation oral contraceptives (11, 12, 13, 14).
The apparent differences associated with the new progestins, in my
view, were due to two major factors: 1), the marketing and preferential
prescribing of new products, and 2), the characteristics of the
patients for whom the new products were prescribed. I do not agree with
the conclusion by Walker (15) that these explanations do not
sufficiently explain the magnitude of the observations. Indeed, I
believe this is a reasonable alternative explanation. Most impressive
and important is the fact that there is no evidence of an increase in
mortality due to venous thromboembolism since the introduction of new
progestin oral contraceptives (3, 16).
The new studies on venous thrombosis and recent studies on arterial
thrombosis (17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24) provide an evidence-based formulation that can be
summarized as follows:
- Pharmacologic estrogen increases the production of
clotting factors.
- Progestins have no significant impact on clotting
factors. Past users of oral contraceptives do not
have an increased incidence of cardiovascular disease.
All low-dose oral contraceptives, regardless of progestin
type, have an increased risk of venous thromboembolism. The actual risk
of venous thrombosis with low-dose oral contraceptives is lower in the
new studies compared with previous reports. Some have argued that this
is due to preferential prescribing and the healthy user effect.
However, it is also logical that the lower risk reflects better
screening of patients and lower estrogen doses.
Smoking has no effect on the risk of venous
thrombosis. Smoking and estrogen have an additive
effect on the risk of arterial thrombosis.
Hypertension is a very important additive risk factor for
stroke in oral contraceptive users. Low-dose oral
contraceptives (less than 50 µg ethinyl estradiol) do not increase
the risk of myocardial infarction or stroke in healthy, nonsmoking
women, regardless of age. Almost all myocardial
infarctions and strokes in oral contraceptive users occur in users of
high-dose products, or in users with cardiovascular risk factors over
the age of 35. Arterial thrombosis (myocardial
infarction and stroke) has a dose-response relationship with the dose
of estrogen, but there are insufficient data to determine whether there
is a difference in risk with products that contain 20, 30, or 35 µg
ethinyl estradiol.
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The recent studies reinforce the belief that the risks of arterial
and venous thrombosis are a consequence of the estrogen component of
combination oral contraceptives. Current evidence does not support
an advantage or disadvantage for any particular formulation, except for
the greater safety associated with any product containing less than 50
µg ethinyl estradiol. Although it is logical to expect the greatest
safety with the lowest dose of estrogen, the rare occurrence of
arterial and venous thrombosis in healthy women makes it unlikely that
there will be any measurable differences in the attributable incidence
of clinical events with all low-dose products.
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The new studies emphasize the importance of good patient
screening. The occurrence of arterial thrombosis is essentially
limited to older women who smoke or have cardiovascular risk factors,
especially hypertension. The impact of good screening is evident in the
repeated failure to detect an increase in mortality due to myocardial
infarction or stroke in several studies (3, 25). Although the risk of
venous thromboembolism is slightly increased, the actual incidence is
still relatively rare, and the mortality rate is about 1% (probably
less with oral contraceptives, because most deaths from thromboembolism
are associated with trauma, surgery, or a major illness). The minimal
risk of venous thrombosis associated with oral contraceptive use does
not justify the cost of routine screening for coagulation deficiencies.
Nevertheless, the importance of this issue is illustrated by the
increased risk of a very rare event, cerebral sinus thrombosis, in
women who have an inherited predisposition for clotting and who use
oral contraceptives (26, 27). If a patient has a close family history
(parent or sibling) or a previous episode of idiopathic
thromboembolism, an evaluation to search for an underlying abnormality
in the coagulation system is warranted.
Combination oral contraception is contraindicated in women who have
a history of idiopathic venous thromboembolism, and also in women who
have a close family history (parent or sibling) of idiopathic venous
thromboembolism. These women will have a higher incidence of
congenital deficiencies in important clotting measurements, especially
antithrombin III, protein C, protein S, and resistance to activated
protein C. Such a patient who screens negatively for an inherited
clotting deficiency might still consider the use of oral
contraceptives, but this would be a difficult decision with unknown
risks for both patient and clinician, and it seems more prudent to
consider other contraceptive options. Other risk factors for
thromboembolism that should be considered by clinicians include an
acquired predisposition, such as the presence of lupus anticoagulant or
malignancy, and immobility or trauma. Varicose veins are not a risk
factor unless they are very extensive.
Low-dose oral contraceptives are very safe for healthy, young
women. By effectively screening for the presence of smoking and
cardiovascular risk factors, especially hypertension, in older women,
we can limit, if not eliminate, any increased risk for arterial disease
associated with low-dose oral contraceptives. And it is very important
to emphasize that there is no increased risk of cardiovascular events
associated with duration (long-term) use. In the 1970s, as
epidemiological data first became available, we emphasized in our
teaching and in our communication with patients the risks and dangers
associated with oral contraceptives. In the 1990s, with better patient
screening and epidemiologic data documenting the effects of low-dose
products, we appropriately emphasized the benefits and safety of modern
oral contraceptives. In the new millennium, we can with confidence
promote the idea that the use of oral contraceptives yields an overall
improvement in individual health, and from a public health point of
view, the collection of effects associated with oral contraceptives
leads to a decrease in the cost of health care.
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